Comprehensive Guide
Learn more in our Loans & Mortgage Guide.
How it works
The 15-versus-30-year decision is a race between guaranteed interest savings and uncertain investment returns, run on a monthly payment difference. The shorter term wins twice structurally: its balance amortizes twice as fast AND its rate typically prices 0.5–0.75 points lower, so on $360,000 the 15-year at 5.75% costs about $2,989 monthly against the 30-year's $2,240 — and repays roughly $268,000 less interest across its life. That saving has a price: $749 of monthly cash flow surrendered for fifteen years. The alternative strategy banks that difference into investments instead, and at a 7% long-run assumption the stash reaches roughly $243,000 by year fifteen — against a remaining 30-year balance near $264,000, leaving investing about $21,000 behind at that checkpoint despite the higher nominal accumulation. This calculator stages the full race year by year: both balances declining, cumulative interest diverging, and the invested-difference portfolio compounding alongside. Three truths survive every run of the numbers. The 30-year strategy only works if the difference is actually invested monthly — consumption quietly absorbs most real-world differences. Investment returns carry sequence risk the mortgage saving never does. And flexibility favors the 30-year structurally: paying it LIKE a 15-year reproduces most savings while preserving the right to stop.Formula
Interest saved = interest(30yr) − interest(15yr) | Investing edge = FV(monthly difference, return, 15y) − balance(30yr at year 15)
Tips
- Take the 30 and auto-invest the difference ONLY with true automation.
- The 15-year's lower rate means you win even before acceleration begins.
- Guaranteed mortgage savings deserve a risk discount when comparing to equities.
- Refinancing into a 15 later captures the rate without the entry-level payment.
- Check affordability honestly: a 15-year payment should strain comfort, not solvency.