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Insurance
Not all insurance is worth keeping. A two-part test for deciding which policies to cancel and which protect against losses you could never absorb.
By FreeCalculators Editorial · Published 2026-09-01 · Updated 2026-09-04 · 5 min read · 1,039 words
Drop a policy only when two conditions hold at the same time: the worst realistic loss it covers is one you could pay from savings without borrowing, and the annual premium is large relative to that maximum loss. Insurance earns its cost when it converts a loss you cannot absorb into a payment you can. Once the loss becomes absorbable, the premium is a fee for convenience rather than protection.
Part one is the absorbability test. Write down the maximum the policy would ever pay and ask whether that number, paid out of pocket next week, would change your life. A 900 dollar phone is absorbable for most households. A liability judgment running into six figures is not, at any income.
Part two is the price test. Compare the annual premium against the expected loss, which is the probability of a claim multiplied by what it would cost. When the premium exceeds the expected loss by more than roughly three times, most of what you are buying is administration and profit rather than risk transfer.
| Coverage | Maximum realistic loss | Typical annual premium | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extended warranty on a 900 appliance | 900 | 150 | Drop and self-fund |
| Phone screen protection | 250 to 400 | 84 to 180 | Drop and self-fund |
| Counter-sold rental car damage waiver | 5,000 to 20,000 | 120 to 300 per trip | Check card and auto policy first |
| Collision on a car worth 3,000 | 3,000 minus deductible | 400 to 700 | Usually drop |
| Auto liability | Effectively unbounded | Varies by state and record | Never drop |
| Home insurance with a mortgage open | Full rebuild cost | Varies by state and carrier | Never drop, the lender requires it |
Four categories protect against losses no household budget absorbs: health coverage, liability coverage on the car and the home, disability coverage while you still depend on your earnings, and life coverage while anyone else depends on them. The test above never clears these, because the maximum loss has no ceiling you can name.
Health coverage stays even through a healthy decade, because one inpatient stay can run into five or six figures. From 65 onward Medicare takes over that role, and dropping a supplement or a drug plan outside the published enrolment windows can leave a gap that is slow and expensive to close.
Extended warranty on a 1,400 refrigerator (2026)
Warranty premium 189 / 3 yr Assumed failure rate 6% over 3 yr Average covered repair 420 Expected loss 0.06 x 420 = 25 Premium / expected loss 189 / 25 = 7.6x Verdict drop, bank the 189 The banked 189 covers that repair 4 times over
Order matters. Bind any replacement before cancelling the old policy, request cancellation in writing with a stated effective date, and confirm the refund of unearned premium. Ask whether removing one line strips a multi-policy discount from the lines you keep, because that loss sometimes exceeds the premium you just saved.
Then redirect the money. A cancelled premium that disappears into ordinary spending has not made you safer. The same amount moved into a labelled savings account is what actually replaces the coverage, which is the point the CFPB makes about liquid savings from the other direction: a reserve you can reach within a day is what makes small risks affordable.
Comprehensive Guide
Read our comprehensive insurance guide for life, health, auto, and home coverage.
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How this guide was created
This guide was written and reviewed by FreeCalculators Editorial, drawing on published formulas, official government sources, and real calculator outputs from our 4 calculators in this category. Every claim is sourced; every formula is auditable. Read our review policy.